Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 0.007665 0.008612 0.009646 0.010860 0.012252 0.013799 0.015657
2025-02-02 0.006384 0.007724 0.009315 0.011355 0.013918 0.017054 0.021214
2025-02-09 0.005471 0.006943 0.008788 0.011295 0.014646 0.019023 0.025253
2025-02-16 0.004893 0.006452 0.008496 0.011407 0.015508 0.021164 0.029716
2025-02-23 0.004358 0.005932 0.008072 0.011244 0.015912 0.022663 0.033418
2025-03-02 0.004023 0.005635 0.007902 0.011388 0.016730 0.024805 0.038325
2025-03-09 0.003681 0.005287 0.007612 0.011304 0.017169 0.026395 0.042555
2025-03-16 0.003293 0.004831 0.007112 0.010836 0.016939 0.026875 0.044979
2025-03-23 0.003059 0.004581 0.006897 0.010782 0.017351 0.028426 0.049438
2025-03-30 0.002975 0.004554 0.007018 0.011273 0.018713 0.031733 0.057544
2025-04-06 0.002724 0.004241 0.006655 0.010919 0.018570 0.032359 0.060665
2025-04-13 0.002513 0.003973 0.006343 0.010618 0.018482 0.033061 0.064016
2025-04-20 0.002364 0.003805 0.006193 0.010607 0.018960 0.034959 0.070285
2025-04-27 0.002308 0.003790 0.006303 0.011078 0.020410 0.038958 0.081804
2025-05-04 0.002173 0.003625 0.006138 0.011020 0.020819 0.040908 0.089117
2025-05-11 0.002075 0.003520 0.006067 0.011130 0.021570 0.043668 0.098830
2025-05-18 0.001949 0.003352 0.005869 0.010972 0.021745 0.045195 0.105820
2025-05-25 0.001874 0.003272 0.005825 0.011111 0.022565 0.048269 0.117334
2025-06-01 0.001777 0.003143 0.005679 0.011029 0.022890 0.050246 0.126356
2025-06-08 0.001643 0.002936 0.005367 0.010574 0.022329 0.050045 0.129356
2025-06-15 0.001566 0.002833 0.005251 0.010522 0.022682 0.052118 0.139259
2025-06-22 0.001552 0.002851 0.005375 0.010999 0.024332 0.057686 0.160759
2025-06-29 0.001453 0.002695 0.005136 0.010655 0.023966 0.057988 0.166125